ABSTRACT
[Objective] To investigate the HIV infection status and behavioral characteristics of men who have sex with men (MSM) over the age of 50 in Taizhou during 2010-2017 HIV sentinel surveillance, analyze the related factors of HIV infection, and provide basis for developing targeted intervention strategies. [Methods] HIV sentinel surveillance data from 2010 to 2017 in Taizhou was used to analyze the demographic characteristics, HIV awareness, and sexual behaviors of MSM over the age of 50. Also, HIV infection status and related factors were analyzed by multivariate regression analysis. [Results]A total of 334 MSM aged over 50 were surveyed by HIV sentinel surveillance in 2010-2017, and the HIV positive rate was 14.1％. The average age of the 334 MSM was (59.6 ± 7.2) years, and those with junior high school education and below accounted for 76.0％, with awareness of AIDS knowledge being 85.6％. And78.7％ of them had anal sex with men in the past 6 months. Among them, 30.4％ used condoms each time. And 4.8％ of them had commercial sex with men and 37.1％ had sex with women in the past 6months. Multivariate analysis showed that syphilis-positiveness was a risk factor for HIV infection and awareness of HIV-related knowledge proved to be a protective factor for HIV infection. [Conclusion] The MSM over 50 years old in Taizhou has a high rate of HIV-positiveness and high-risk behaviors exist. It is imperative to strengthen dynamic HIV surveillance for this population and behavioral intervention to reduce HIV related risky behavior.
ABSTRACT
<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To explore the correlation between ultrasonic scores, routine blood tests and stages of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), and identify non-invasive indexes to establish a diagnostic model for liver cirrhosis.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>A retrospective analysis of 428 patients with CHB undergoing liver biopsies was conducted. The patients' hematology, serum biochemical indexes, serum alpha fetal proteins (AFP), serum HBeAg status and ultrasonic scores were statistically analyzed. A diagnostic model was established by stepwise discriminant analysis, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI) was used to estimate the diagnostic value.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>Partial correlation analysis indicated that platelet, serum albumin, bilirubin, AST, ratio of AST to alanine aminotransferase, prothrombin time and ultrasonic scores were correlated to the stages of liver fibrosis, and significantly differed between patients with and without liver cirrhosis. Logistic regression analysis identified ultrasonic scores, platelet, serum bilirubin, albumin and AST as indexes affecting the diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis. The area under receiver operation curve of model was 0.907. The cirrhosis index (CI) of -0.94 for this model was suitable for screening, with specificity of 85.0%, sensitivity of 81.7%, and accuracy of 84.3%. About 56.2% of the patients' CI was lower than -2.0 with the negative predictive value of 97.0% and the rate of missed diagnosis of 3.0%. About 18.2% of the patients' cirrhosis probabilities were above 0.15, with positive predictive value of 77.3%, and only 2.7% of the patients had mild fibrosis (F2), suggesting that nearly 75% of the patients did not have to receive liver biopsies.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>This diagnostic model integrates the ultrasonic scores, platelet, serum bilirubin, albumin and AST to enable effective screening and prediction of compensated cirrhosis, and can reduce the number of patients required to undergo liver biopsy by about 75%.</p>